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Silver at a Critical Juncture: Volatility, Gaps, and the Risk of Exhaustion

  COMEX SILVER Silver witnessed exceptional volatility in early trade today on the COMEX. Prices swung sharply between a high of $83.75 and a low of $75.15 , and are currently trading near $80.35 . Such a wide intraday range, especially when it occurs near a swing high , deserves close attention from traders. Extreme volatility over a short time span often reflects emotional participation —late buyers chasing momentum and short-term traders reacting aggressively to price movement. Historically, when this kind of behavior appears near higher price zones, it can precede a blow-off move , where price accelerates rapidly before losing strength due to exhaustion. Understanding Blow-Off Risk A blow-off top is not defined by price alone, but by speed, range, and sentiment . When price moves become unusually fast and wide, it signals that: Liquidity is thinning Risk is rising The market may be pulling future demand into the present This does not mean an immediate reversa...

Nifty Struggles at 24800: What Options Data Tells Us About Market Direction

  Nifty settled at 24,578 , down by 1.39% on Tuesday. The index failed to attract follow-up buying above 24,800 , which acted as a strong resistance zone (as highlighted in our previous write-up dated May 2, 2025 ). It eventually closed well below this level, indicating the presence of selling interest near key resistance. Technical Overview: Nifty successfully tested the resistance zone of 24,800 and subsequently formed a bearish Harami pattern on the daily chart. This pattern coincides with a recent swing top and occurred near a resistance zone, thereby strengthening its technical significance. A large trading range was observed on Monday, May 12, 2025 , which suggests the possibility of a sideways move in the coming sessions. Despite the recent pullback, the intermediate trend remains bullish as the price is still holding above the 9 and 21 DEMA levels. Moreover, the 9 DEMA is placed above the 21 DEMA , confirming the uptrend. Key support is now seen in the 24,100–24,000...

Nifty Struggles Near 24,500: Key Resistance and Support Levels to Watch

  Nifty Update (CMP: 24,439) After a strong opening rally, Nifty hit a high of 24,589 but then faced sharp selling pressure, dropping to a low of 24,305. It is currently hovering near the 24,400 zone, which has acted as a recent consolidation area. Technical Outlook: As long as Nifty holds above 24,300, there remains potential for an upward move toward the 24,700–24,800 levels. However, the 24,850 zone is expected to act as a strong resistance, with possible selling pressure near that area. Immediate support lies at 24,305, followed by 24,190. A break below 24,190 may negate the bullish momentum created by today’s early rally. Options Data Analysis: Call Side: 24,500 CE has the highest open interest (OI) at 80.52 lakh contracts with 9.58 crore volume and 54.5 lakh OI addition, indicating strong resistance. 25,600 CE also saw significant activity with 8.13 crore volume and 46.93 lakh OI addition. Put Side: 24,500 PE recorded 8.84 crore volume and 29.55 lakh OI additi...

Nifty Market Outlook – Correction, Volatility & Investor Strategy

Nifty Index Nifty is currently trading around 21,870, continuing its downward trajectory since hitting an all-time high of 26,277.35. The recent rebound of 1,915 points from 21,964.60 to 23,879.60 was short-lived, as the index faced strong resistance near the reaction high of 23,807.30 (recorded on 5th February 2025), and has since resumed its decline. Today’s session opened with a steep 5% gap down at 21,758.40, breaching the previous low of 21,964.60 made on 4th March. While there was a recovery attempt due to bargain hunting and possible support around the 21,800 level, Nifty failed to sustain above the critical psychological mark of 22,000 and started slipping again. Derivatives and Open Interest (OI) Analysis The options data reflects significant uncertainty, with OI spread widely across multiple strikes — a sign of increased volatility. On the Put side, strong writing is visible at the 21,000 and 20,650 levels, suggesting potential support zones. Meanwhile, Call writing is con...

Will Exhaustion Gap Halt the Down Trend in Nifty?

In this video we have explained what NIFTY is likely to do in next few sessions. 

Nifty Options Weekly Expiry; MAX PAIN stands at 13400

#NIFTY #INDEX currently trading at 13438, down by 90 from previous close. Today index has opened gap down and taken out the low placed yesterday at 13449 triggering primary weakness in market for the day. Immediate support is now placed at 13390, retest to this level can’t be ruled out but stability below 13390 will result in to further weakness and then attempt towards 13350-13310 zones can’t be ruled out. Key support will be at 13300 and further stability below that level will bring more weakness. Resistance is now placed at day high which stands at 13488, any sustained move (Less likely) above that level will bring some relief to bulls and then attempt towards 13540-13590 can be seen.  On #option_chain heavy #call_writing is being done at 13500-13600 strikes where as short covering is visible in 13450 and 13500 puts whereas longs build up seen in 13400 puts with high volume. Based on current #OI position level of #option_pain stands at 13400 thus based on current data at 10:52AM...

LIC Housing Finance; time for bulls?

  LIC HOUSING FINANCE settled at 321.90 up by 5.78% on Tuesday. Stock had been staying in a consolidation phase that took shape of an ascending triangle and in today’s session it broke through the resistance line of this triangle consolidation and settled well above key resistance of 312 suggesting dominance of bulls. Stock has been staying above its 9 days SMA on daily chart keeping a short-term bullish trend in picture. Stochastic is now approaching overbought territory along with bullish cross above its signal line suggesting a strong bullish momentum. MACD has been staying in positive territory and now its parting upward from its signal line suggesting development of fresh bullish momentum. Direction and momentum are two important components for any chart to anticipate future price movement and current trend and momentum on chart provided above is suggesting bullishness. Breakout of triangle pattern can be used to determine potential destination for current move and if th...