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Can Price Symmetry Help Bulls to Get Back on Track?

A simple yet powerful tool that I use every day in my trading. It’s called symmetry. Symmetry in market means equality when comparing swing in same direction. This technique helps me to project probable target or reversal point on chart. In February after budget session NIFTY index took a dip of 1219.65 points from top of 11171.55 to low of 9951.90. This time nifty has been in a nice down trend from 5 weeks and it has headed a low of 10547.25 in today’s session. If we subtract 1219.65 points from recent top of 11760.20 then areas of 11540.55 are the probable support as per price symmetry. However areas of 10540.55 are probable support areas and reversal can’t be expected exactly from that same level but it can be used as potential support area. On this chart I have drawn a horizontal line which is connecting multiple highs and lows which is also a significant area and rising trend line and horizontal line both are intersecting near 10460 zones which is also a crucial point to wat...

Nifty: Completion of AB=CD is hinting a bearish reversal

NIFTY is currently trading at 11282. A bearish AB=CD pattern has emerged on EOD chart of NIFTY index. Now this index is showing sign of reversal from 11390.55. Bullish attempt from low of 10419.80 to 11390.55 is equal to bullish move from low of 10105.40 to high 10929.20. Pattern has completed leg CD which is usually 100% extension of leg AB. Completion of leg CD marks a bearish reversal for this pattern. On price action front nifty has formed a spinning top near 100% extension of leg AB which increases the probability of this bearish reversal. Stability below 11400 will help bears to gain control and a primary attempt towards 11100-10930 zones will remain in focus. Further stability below 10900 will lead to further decline and any recovery above 11400 will invalidate our bearish expectations.  

Natural Gas: Showing Bullish Potential

This is the daily chart of #NaturalGas MCX which has closed at 202.30. Observation: recent #corrective move had taken place in a #falling #wedge formation which later resulted in a #bullish breakout. Recently this commodity is attacking at #psychological ceiling near 202 and at the same time it has established a move above 10 days SMA  which is also sloping upward suggesting a bullish environment for this commodity. Staying long can be a good #strategy as long as price manages to hold above 10 days #SMA which stands near 193. #MACD is near centre line and price stability above 193 will bring a positive cross on this indicator which will confirm bullish trend and momentum for coming days. Approaching winter season will also be a supporting factor for bullish expectations. Assumption: Dips towards 198-196 can be used for longs with stop of 193 for targeting 212-217-228 in near term . Hints: I have used trend line to observe market structure. 10 days SMA is used to observe trend...

Celebrating 71st independence day? What about Financial Freedom?

Happy independence day!!! We are celebrating 71st independence day but what about financial freedom? Large number of people in this country give up their desire just because they can't afford. People who have batter financial management become wealthy in other words people who know how to make their money to work for them become rich and achieve financial freedom. No matter how hard you work, how much you earn if you can't manage your finance properly you would never achieve financial freedom. To prove my point let's take an example of two people. In early 2000 two persons, person 'A' and person 'B' employed in small shops in small town earning 3000 per month as salary. Person 'A' bought a colour TV which was costing nearly 25000 at that time and person 'B' bought a plot of 100 yards with that 25000 rupees. After 10 years that TV's value depreciated to 2500 from 25000 and that plot turned into an asset of 25lks... This is how properl...

NIFTY: are we ready for deeper correction?

Nifty spot is currently trading at 8565.55. This index has recently placed a top at 8968.70 which was 93.4% correction of entire bearish attempt from high 9119.20 to low 6825.80. Nifty has turned sideways near 88% Fibonacci correction of bearish move that presents ideal condition for a Bullish Bat harmonic pattern. Nifty price movement has already completed 3 legs of this pattern and now final leg ‘CD’ is in progress that completes near 88% correction of primary leg ‘XA’ which is placed at 5574. Based on price action Nifty, however, had recovered from 57% correction of bullish attempt from low of 5118.85 to high 9119.20 but failed to make a higher top to confirm continuation in longer term bullish trend and now it keeps chances alive for negatively biased sideways market. Nifty has been fluctuating between 8500-8900 zones from past few weeks and attracting buyers near the areas of 8500-8470 zones. Thus we can consider areas of 8470 as very strong support but a bearish cross on MAC...

Copper: Is it getting ready for an advance towards 414?

Copper has been witnessing a long term down trend since August 2013 and closed at 333.50 yesterday. Provided is weekly chart in which correction from top of 512.65 took place in a channelized manner and this metal found support near 291 whereas 284.10 was the swing low posted in 2010. Most recently copper recovered from 298.05 which is 88.8% Fibonacci correction of bullish swing AB. Swing AB itself is 61.8% correction of bearish swing XA. Fibonacci relationship between these swings hints possibilities of a harmonic structure that can be either Bearish Gartley or Bearish Crab. In case if pattern unfolds as bearish Gartley then current rally is likely to be terminated from 358 zones after completing leg CD of this structure. Presence of descending trend line resistance near 358 also increases significance of this structure. In case if pattern unfolds as bearish Crab then an advance to complete leg ‘CD’, which is 161.8% extension of leg ‘XA’, can’t be ruled out. And this extended rall...

COPPER: TESTING FLIP RESISTANCE; SUSTAINED BREAKOUT MIGHT LEAD A STRONG RALLY

Copper on MCX is currently trading at 338 up by 2.33 percent from its previous close. It  had witnessed a nice recovery after placing a low of 291.50 in recent months and headed a high of 343.85 during that rally. After that a short term correction took place that lasted almost for 3 months and this correction was witnessed in a channelized manner. Now copper has climbed above the resistance line of this channel while Stochastic is staying above 40 and MACD in bullish territory. Bullish price action is also supported by positive reading on momentum indicators and this rally seems reliable. Prices are now attacking its flip resistance (Support Turned resistance) thus the areas of 338-339 will play crucial role in coming days and if copper finds its way above 339 than a strong rally towards 351-366 can’t be ruled out in near term. Areas of 325 are expected to remain crucial and further stability below these levels might invalidate bullish expectations.