As per daily log scale crude is trading in down trend and taking resistance on down sloping trend line. Crude made high of 114.80 in may 2011 this year, and then a nice correction seen in crude form the high of 114.80. Now crude is facing very stiff resistance on its down sloping trend line. After a bottom of 89.61 crude retested this falling trend line and nice resistance seen near 101 and a nice selling seen near trend line resistance and a sharp fall seen till 75.70 after that level. Now crude has again retested this down sloping trend line and made 90.49 high during last week but after looking at charts it seems that professional traders are selling crude oil near resistance of this down sloping trend line that’s why nice selling seen despite of supportive inventory data during last week and crude made low 86.98 after a high of 90.49. Bearish crossover seen on its stochastic indicator that is also supporting our bearish view and valid trend line confirmation and a rising wedge during the down trend is also suggesting that another sharp down side move can take place after bearish breakout of this rising wedge. 91 is looking very stiff resistance for this down move and a break above this resistance will completely neglect our bearish view otherwise we are expecting 84 as an immediate support and below 84-83 zones a sharp fall till 75-70 can’t be ruled out.
Nifty Update (CMP: 24,439) After a strong opening rally, Nifty hit a high of 24,589 but then faced sharp selling pressure, dropping to a low of 24,305. It is currently hovering near the 24,400 zone, which has acted as a recent consolidation area. Technical Outlook: As long as Nifty holds above 24,300, there remains potential for an upward move toward the 24,700–24,800 levels. However, the 24,850 zone is expected to act as a strong resistance, with possible selling pressure near that area. Immediate support lies at 24,305, followed by 24,190. A break below 24,190 may negate the bullish momentum created by today’s early rally. Options Data Analysis: Call Side: 24,500 CE has the highest open interest (OI) at 80.52 lakh contracts with 9.58 crore volume and 54.5 lakh OI addition, indicating strong resistance. 25,600 CE also saw significant activity with 8.13 crore volume and 46.93 lakh OI addition. Put Side: 24,500 PE recorded 8.84 crore volume and 29.55 lakh OI additi...
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