Skip to main content

Natural Gas Technical analysis



Natural gas March contract on mcx currently trading at 139.70, symmetric triangle has appeared at the lower end of current bearish swing breakout above 143.20 would offer 148.30- 160- 172 as target for this move. 14 periods RSI above 50 line supporting bullish expectations. Prices are currently moving between short term and midterm moving average and taking support at short term moving average that is around 133 consolidations above midterm moving average that is around 142 would signal a bullish move for retest of long term moving average that is around 176. For this bullish view 133 will remain key support in case of failure of this pattern 143.10 area will turn in to strong resistance zones and fall till 125.20-117.50 can’t be ruled out. Today inventory expectations are -146B that is also supportive for bullish view.

Recommendation: buying around 135-137 for targeting around 148-160-170 with stop loss of 133 on might be appropriate daily closing basis. 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

LIC Housing Finance; time for bulls?

  LIC HOUSING FINANCE settled at 321.90 up by 5.78% on Tuesday. Stock had been staying in a consolidation phase that took shape of an ascending triangle and in today’s session it broke through the resistance line of this triangle consolidation and settled well above key resistance of 312 suggesting dominance of bulls. Stock has been staying above its 9 days SMA on daily chart keeping a short-term bullish trend in picture. Stochastic is now approaching overbought territory along with bullish cross above its signal line suggesting a strong bullish momentum. MACD has been staying in positive territory and now its parting upward from its signal line suggesting development of fresh bullish momentum. Direction and momentum are two important components for any chart to anticipate future price movement and current trend and momentum on chart provided above is suggesting bullishness. Breakout of triangle pattern can be used to determine potential destination for current move and if th...

Nifty Struggles Near 24,500: Key Resistance and Support Levels to Watch

  Nifty Update (CMP: 24,439) After a strong opening rally, Nifty hit a high of 24,589 but then faced sharp selling pressure, dropping to a low of 24,305. It is currently hovering near the 24,400 zone, which has acted as a recent consolidation area. Technical Outlook: As long as Nifty holds above 24,300, there remains potential for an upward move toward the 24,700–24,800 levels. However, the 24,850 zone is expected to act as a strong resistance, with possible selling pressure near that area. Immediate support lies at 24,305, followed by 24,190. A break below 24,190 may negate the bullish momentum created by today’s early rally. Options Data Analysis: Call Side: 24,500 CE has the highest open interest (OI) at 80.52 lakh contracts with 9.58 crore volume and 54.5 lakh OI addition, indicating strong resistance. 25,600 CE also saw significant activity with 8.13 crore volume and 46.93 lakh OI addition. Put Side: 24,500 PE recorded 8.84 crore volume and 29.55 lakh OI additi...

Nifty Struggles at 24800: What Options Data Tells Us About Market Direction

  Nifty settled at 24,578 , down by 1.39% on Tuesday. The index failed to attract follow-up buying above 24,800 , which acted as a strong resistance zone (as highlighted in our previous write-up dated May 2, 2025 ). It eventually closed well below this level, indicating the presence of selling interest near key resistance. Technical Overview: Nifty successfully tested the resistance zone of 24,800 and subsequently formed a bearish Harami pattern on the daily chart. This pattern coincides with a recent swing top and occurred near a resistance zone, thereby strengthening its technical significance. A large trading range was observed on Monday, May 12, 2025 , which suggests the possibility of a sideways move in the coming sessions. Despite the recent pullback, the intermediate trend remains bullish as the price is still holding above the 9 and 21 DEMA levels. Moreover, the 9 DEMA is placed above the 21 DEMA , confirming the uptrend. Key support is now seen in the 24,100–24,000...