Skip to main content

NIFTY: Test of 200 Days SMA Might Result in Profit Taking

Nifty spot has successfully tested its flip resistance near 8000 and witnessed nice selling pressure after hitting intra-day high of 7978.45 and settled at 7912.05. Prices are facing resistance near 200 days SMA and 50% correction level of entire bearish attempt from top of 9119.20 to low of 6825.80. Nifty has been witnessing a consolidation in a small range from last 3 days that marks possibility of a bearish breakaway candlestick pattern which consists 5 candlesticks. We need 1 more candle to confirm completion of this pattern. MACD has been staying bullish territory but historical movement on this indicator hints overbought reading and might bring a reversal in this counter.  14 periods daily RSI is also around 67% and remains favourable for bears as long as RSI zone shift takes place. In this set-up we are using 2 moving average system to determine long term trend but short term ( 50 days) moving average is below long term (200 days) moving average that suggests a clear down trend. 
Immediate resistance is now seen near 8000 zones. However, retest to these levels can’t be ruled out but we need stability above 8000 to confirm a move towards 8400-8600 zones. Stability below 8000 will remain favorable for bears and primary profit booking might take this index towards 7700-7550 zones. Areas of 7450 are supported by up sloping 50 days SMA and a temporary bounce can’t be ruled out from those levels in case if nifty fails to hold 7700.  

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

LIC Housing Finance; time for bulls?

  LIC HOUSING FINANCE settled at 321.90 up by 5.78% on Tuesday. Stock had been staying in a consolidation phase that took shape of an ascending triangle and in today’s session it broke through the resistance line of this triangle consolidation and settled well above key resistance of 312 suggesting dominance of bulls. Stock has been staying above its 9 days SMA on daily chart keeping a short-term bullish trend in picture. Stochastic is now approaching overbought territory along with bullish cross above its signal line suggesting a strong bullish momentum. MACD has been staying in positive territory and now its parting upward from its signal line suggesting development of fresh bullish momentum. Direction and momentum are two important components for any chart to anticipate future price movement and current trend and momentum on chart provided above is suggesting bullishness. Breakout of triangle pattern can be used to determine potential destination for current move and if th...

Will Exhaustion Gap Halt the Down Trend in Nifty?

In this video we have explained what NIFTY is likely to do in next few sessions. 

Nifty Options Weekly Expiry; MAX PAIN stands at 13400

#NIFTY #INDEX currently trading at 13438, down by 90 from previous close. Today index has opened gap down and taken out the low placed yesterday at 13449 triggering primary weakness in market for the day. Immediate support is now placed at 13390, retest to this level can’t be ruled out but stability below 13390 will result in to further weakness and then attempt towards 13350-13310 zones can’t be ruled out. Key support will be at 13300 and further stability below that level will bring more weakness. Resistance is now placed at day high which stands at 13488, any sustained move (Less likely) above that level will bring some relief to bulls and then attempt towards 13540-13590 can be seen.  On #option_chain heavy #call_writing is being done at 13500-13600 strikes where as short covering is visible in 13450 and 13500 puts whereas longs build up seen in 13400 puts with high volume. Based on current #OI position level of #option_pain stands at 13400 thus based on current data at 10:52AM...