LET THE MARKET TELL WHO WE ARE

Here are 5 reasons why NIFTY has potential to resume its primary (long term) bullish trend. Price has broken out above 1 year old descending trend line resistance which was drawn by connecting life time high of 9119.20 ( March, 2015) and another swing high 8654.75 (July, 2015). Broken trend line has provided strong support during most recent bearish attempts. Price has been staying above 20, 50 days EMAs and 20 days EMA is above 50 days EMA and both EMAs are trending up. Nifty has found strong support near 23.8% Fibonacci correction of bullish attempt from low of 6825.80 to high 7992. Smaller the retracement stronger the trend.  Price has started attacking on 200 days moving average while MACD is in positive territory.  A Confirmed breakout above 8000 will lead a strong rally in this index, whereas failure of 7650 will invalidate recent bullish developments. 

Nifty spot has successfully tested its flip resistance near 8000 and witnessed nice selling pressure after hitting intra-day high of 7978.45 and settled at 7912.05. Prices are facing resistance near 200 days SMA and 50% correction level of entire bearish attempt from top of 9119.20 to low of 6825.80. Nifty has been witnessing a consolidation in a small range from last 3 days that marks possibility of a bearish breakaway candlestick pattern which consists 5 candlesticks. We need 1 more candle to confirm completion of this pattern. MACD has been staying bullish territory but historical movement on this indicator hints overbought reading and might bring a reversal in this counter.  14 periods daily RSI is also around 67% and remains favourable for bears as long as RSI zone shift takes place. In this set-up we are using 2 moving average system to determine long term trend but short term ( 50 days) moving average is below long term (200 days) moving average that suggests a clear dow...

A very nice basing formation has emerged in silver and currently it is trading at 37562. A cup and handle pattern is clearly visible on daily chart and now silver is consolidating to form handle of this pattern. Yesterday silver took support at 30 days SMA and jumped nicely and today it has climbed above 5days EMA triggering bullishness in this counter. Stability above 30 days EMA remains supportive for silver bulls. However, a bearish cross has taken place on MACD indicator but still this indicator is staying in bullish territory and remains supportive for bulls. Immediate support is now placed at 36800 any failure of this level will put current cup & handle pattern in doubts and any sustained move below this level will bring attempts towards 35800 zones and further stability below 35800 will call for retest to floor of this cup near 33000 zones . Stability above 36800 remains extremely bullish and established move above 38000 will offer a primary rally towards 40500 and then ...

Domestic markets have responded positively to union budget 2016 and today NIFTY witnessed a rally of 235 which is largest intraday gain in last 1 year. A double bottom pattern has emerged on price chart and technical indicators are showing bullish divergence at the same time which is supportive for bulls. However, MACD indicator has been staying in bearish territory but a cross above its signal line hints weakening bearish momentum and divergence on this indicator hints strengthening bulls. 14 periods daily RSI has also formed a bullish divergence which is also supportive for bulls. On price action front NIFTY is now approaching towards descending trend line resistance and horizontal line which has flipped to resistance near 7260 zones. In case of stability above 7260 it will confirm a double bottom and descending trend line break and then a primary rally towards 7520-7600 zones can’t be ruled out. Support will remain at 7030 failure of this level seems less likely in case of fai...

Nifty has been experiencing a correction after hitting a top of 9119.20 during the month of March last year. This correction has occurred in a channelized manner and today nifty has witnessed nice recovery from 7241.50 after testing support line of this bearish channel. However, there is no evidence of bottom on chart and bulls need to establish a move above 7500 to claim their presence.  Index is staying below 5 days exponential moving average from last few days that suggests accelerated down trend. MACD indicator has been staying below center line and still it’s loaded with bearish momentum that remains a supporting factor for NIFTY bears. However, 14 periods daily RSI is testing oversold territory but it is also staying below its 9 periods moving average that keeps on going down trend intact. 2 Fibonacci projections are converging near 7220-7187 zones. These are the areas where NIFTY might get support. If nifty manages to spend considerable time below 7180 zones then down tr...

Silver has been experiencing a strong down trend since it broke through the key support of 35000 which was also support line of a bearish flag continuation. Prices are now hovering near key support zones around 33400-33000. However, silver had witnessed some recovery on Monday and Tuesday but 2 days counter move is not enough to confirm a trend reversal. Today this metal has opened with a down side gap and staying below its opening price. We need a penetration of 33150 to confirm resumption to a larger degree down trend and then attempts towards 30700 zones can’t be ruled out. Stability below 33150 will also increase the possibilities of completion of CD leg (at 30700) of a bullish AB=CD pattern. Any move above 34200 might bring some recovery and then a jump towards 35200 can’t be ruled out. Any stability above 35200 zones might put this entire bearish setup in doubts where stability below mentioned resistance levels will keep on going down trend intact.

Nifty is currently trading at 8083. It had witnessed a sharp recovery in yesterday’s session after revisiting neckline of an inverse head and shoulder pattern. This chart is showing NIFTY’s love towards classic head and shoulder formation. Nifty is likely to stay in a range among 8000 and 8350. Areas of 8000 are supported by the neckline of an inverse HNS formation and 8350 are resisted by neckline of HNS bearish reversal pattern. Any confirmed breakout above or below these levels will clear the way for a bigger move. Nifty index has been experiencing down trend since March 2015 which has taken place in a channelized manner and currently we are trading in corrective leg of this bearish trend. Stability above 8000-7950 keeps nifty in short term trading range among 8000-8350. Any sustained move above 8360 will confirm resumption to longer term uptrend and then primary rally towards 8600 can’t be ruled out. Any failure of 7950 will invalidate current bullish move and then it will try to...