The black gold moving up nicely since Oct.
2011 and made high of 110.54 during this rally. Recently a bullish breakout
seen above 103 but due to low buying interest at these levels crude was not
able to establish any big move and trading between ranges of 103-110 since February
17, 2012. Now bearish divergence on 63 momentum indicator suggesting a big
selling pressure ahead in crude. Momentum indicator has already broken
ascending trend line with bearish divergence has already given ultimatum to
crude oil bulls for short term. 63 momentum indicators below 0 would signal a
strong down trend for short term and crude may taste 95-90 zones again. Before further
upside. Key support for this view will remain 103 and resistance will remain at
112
Nifty settled at 24,578 , down by 1.39% on Tuesday. The index failed to attract follow-up buying above 24,800 , which acted as a strong resistance zone (as highlighted in our previous write-up dated May 2, 2025 ). It eventually closed well below this level, indicating the presence of selling interest near key resistance. Technical Overview: Nifty successfully tested the resistance zone of 24,800 and subsequently formed a bearish Harami pattern on the daily chart. This pattern coincides with a recent swing top and occurred near a resistance zone, thereby strengthening its technical significance. A large trading range was observed on Monday, May 12, 2025 , which suggests the possibility of a sideways move in the coming sessions. Despite the recent pullback, the intermediate trend remains bullish as the price is still holding above the 9 and 21 DEMA levels. Moreover, the 9 DEMA is placed above the 21 DEMA , confirming the uptrend. Key support is now seen in the 24,100–24,000...

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